One of the most frequent objections made by Christian apologists to a natural explanation for the resurrection of Jesus is that a natural explanation requires a chain of multiple very rare events all added together to create a possible explanation for all the facts. Such a very, very improbable combination of events is just not plausible, they say.
It’s a matter of several necessary components that would all need to line up in order for the “resurrection of Jesus” story to have taken place. —Christian
Yet these people believe that the resurrection of a dead body is plausible???
The odds of winning the lottery is 1 in 13,000,000. We nonsupernaturalists believe that winning the lottery at these very long odds is much more probable than the resurrection of a dead body. But even more, we non-supernaturalists believe that the odds of winning the lottery ONE HUNDRED TIMES in a row is much more probable than the resurrection of a dead body.
The fact that several improbable natural events must be added together to arrive at a natural explanation for the early Christian resurrection belief does not change our view in the slightest that even a long series of very rare, very improbable natural events is much, much more probable than the resurrection of a dead corpse.
This is why it is a complete waste of time for supernaturalists (ie. Christians) and non-supernaturalists to discuss plausibility and probability when discussing the alleged resurrection of Jesus of Nazareth. Our polar opposite worldviews do not give us a foundational truth upon which to have a rational conversation. In order to have a rational discussion on this issue, one or the other side must move to the position of the other regarding the reality or non-reality of the supernatural.
End of post.