Should You Believe an Extraordinary Claim just because there are Eyewitnesses and no other Explanation for the Event has been Presented?

This morning you woke up and your car keys are missing.  You tear the house apart and still cannot find them.  You go out in front of your house to check the front door, the drive way, and your car but still do not find your keys.  Your neighbor, who is a professional psychic, asks what is going on.  You tell her about your missing keys.  She consults her psychic tea leaves and they tell her that a group of space aliens took your keys last night.  She says that a space ship hovered over your house at approximately 3 AM, two of the aliens descended onto your roof, entered your house, walked out with your keys, levitated back into the space ship, and then flew off into the night sky.

Your neighbor publishes this story on her weekly psychic blog.

Within days, several of your neighbors report having seen “something” above your house the night of your missing keys.  Some even claim to have seen the aliens on your roof.

There is no other evidence to suggest why your keys are missing.

Question:  Should you believe this very extraordinary explanation for your missing keys just because there are eyewitnesses and it is the only story that exists?

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2 thoughts on “Should You Believe an Extraordinary Claim just because there are Eyewitnesses and no other Explanation for the Event has been Presented?

  1. In the example you gave, there was not only the eyewitnesses, there was also the tea leaves.

    A lady told me once how she saw a ghost and that the ghost’s image was clear and that it was daytime I think the ghost was close to her and looked like a normal live human IIRC. She told me this story in a matter of fact way. I don’t know what to make of her story, but I am skeptical.

    Like

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